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TRADING
AWAY PROSPERITY
Publication:
U.S. News and World Report
Printed: Thursday, August 30, 2004
Written by: Lou Dobbs
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Will President Bush OR Sen. John Kerry do anything
to reverse our mounting trade deficit and the outsourcing of American
jobs? Whatever the American voters decide in November, it's critically
important that their choice of president over the next four years end
the madness that will lead to an economic and social crisis in this country.
The Commerce Department recently reported a disturbing 19 percent increase
in the U.S. monthly trade deficit for June. With the nearly $56 billion
gap in June, our trade deficit is now on pace to rise to almost $600
billion by the end of the year, more than 15 percent higher than last
year's record half-trillion-dollar deficit.
I've always believed that there is nothing wrong with carrying a moderate
amount of debt. But it's become all too clear that our shortsighted trade
policies have created an unsustainable deficit that could ultimately
spell fiscal disaster for the United States. A trade gap of this magnitude
will only serve to limit job creation or lead to more job losses, further
our decline in global competitiveness, and increase our reliance on foreign
debt.
I'm obviously not in favor of costly free-trade policies, but neither
am I a "table-thumping protectionist," as I've been called.
There has to be a middle ground between the two extremes, and as our
deficit continues to reach unprecedented levels, now is the time to start
a real dialogue on the issue of fair, balanced trade before this gets
completely out of hand.
We are closer to that point than we think. Our current account deficit,
the broadest measure of international trade, has risen to about 5 percent
of the nation's gross domestic product. That figure has significant implications
for any nation's fiscal health, even that of the world's largest economy.
A four-year-old Federal Reserve study found that industrialized nations
are likely to suffer major fiscal crises when their current account deficit
rises to 5 percent of GDP. It's clear we're headed the way of crisis
if we don't adjust our thinking and policies.
First, we need to take a hard look at the role of the World Trade Organization.
Of course we've seen a worsening trade deficit since the advent of the
WTO. After all, we let the world's protectionist majority of nations
write the rules of world trade and restrict U.S. interests. In doing
so, U.S.-based multinational corporations have gained incredible power
to ship jobs overseas and export foreign-made products and services into
the U.S. market.
"The WTO is fatally flawed," says Robert E. Scott, director
of international programs at the Economic Policy Institute. "It
transfers power to a group of faceless bureaucrats and trade lawyers,
many of whom represent
the interests of multinational companies over the interests of countries
who want to sustain good jobs."
Bad deals. It's also important to carefully evaluate our trading partners
when engaging in any trade agreements. Instead of opening new markets
to U.S. products and services, all we've accomplished in the past 10
years is a series of outsourcing agreements. And the Bush administration
has made these deals with countries that cannot possibly become significant
importers of U.S. goods and services, like Morocco, Singapore, and Chile.
Aside from agriculture, U.S. trade representatives have steered clear
of negotiations with Western Europe and Japan, despite their obvious
wealth, the size of their markets, and our tremendous trade deficits
with these countries.
We should also put policies in place that emphasize the United States
as a location for production. We've gone from a nation of producers to
a gluttonous debtor nation, importing most of our factory-made items.
As Scott says, "The U.S. has a national interest in having production
here, which is different from the interests of private businesses maximizing
profits. We want to have policies that help build up domestic industries,
with things like support for job creation, for research and development,
for building up communities, such as setting up enterprise zones and
incubators."
If our free-trade policies truly benefit U.S. workers, shouldn't we have
seen a significant increase in real wages over the past 30 years? Shouldn't
working Americans participate in prosperity? So-called free trade has
created the opposite of its intended effect: stagnant real wages and
a decline in the standard of living.
There is a middle way between free trade and protectionism that assures
rationality, mutuality, and balance in international trade. I, for one,
am going to vote for the candidate who most aggressively pursues balance
and proportion in our trade policies.
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